Champions League · resolved market
Will Esperance Sportive beat LAFC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94bc40f2a00988830c3f213a2c0e13dbb9905e79b2cc580b1e88687ef921d1f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 8c | 16,229$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.3 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 75c | 13,679$10,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,259.42 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 75c | 8,981$6,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,764.21 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 5,268$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.22 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 4,993$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.09 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 68c | 4,716$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.1 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 27c | 3,590$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.68 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 22c | 3,337$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.96 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed No | 9c | 3,138$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 3,050$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…f1f8backed Yes | 16c | 3,040$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 24c | 2,927$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.58 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 50c | 2,397$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.79 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 34c | 2,086$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.94 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed No | 78c | 1,454$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 74c | 1,133$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…b1d1backed Yes | 21c | 995$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…7423backed Yes | 21c | 995$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 19c | 900$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.5 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…9fb1backed No | 79c | 755$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…b5babacked No | 79c | 755$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 24c | 696.34$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.96 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed No | 7c | 687$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 22c | 610$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.5 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…a10abacked Yes | 29c | 534.83$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 497.26$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 76c | 323.16$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 71c | 221.8$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.65 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 21c | 220$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed No | 20c | 202.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 37c | 193.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 190.15$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 17c | 188.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af4…0bd2backed No | 79c | 170$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…aea6backed No | 79c | 170$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed No | 7c | 154.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 17c | 96.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…1f02backed No | 32c | 94.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…c096backed No | 75c | 89.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…893abacked Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…1822backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…9b52backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…915bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 51.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 58c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Yes | 23c | 47.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…049fbacked No | 72c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…efdcbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 74c | 36.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb686…9130backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e125backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 79c | 14.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Esperance Sportive beat LAFC?this page
- Will LAFC beat Esperance Sportive?No won
- Will LAFC vs. Esperance Sportive end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.