Champions League · resolved market
Will PSG beat Bayern Munich in regulation time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4f0e50efa05d09457ee316131d11630503d82a1667eaa36c3d52ec1fae9626
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 59c | 9,940$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,862.21 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 42c | 5,243$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.98 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 44c | 3,918$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.37 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 25c | 3,471$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.33 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 59c | 2,615$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.09 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed Yes | 39c | 2,574$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 54c | 1,821$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.26 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 44c | 1,352$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 29c | 1,329$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.73 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 61c | 1,279$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.49 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…cbfabacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…8d7dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,153$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +893.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 24c | 1,115$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.41 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,063$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.46 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,061$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.85 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Yes | 46c | 1,045$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…9351backed Yes | 48c | 1,014$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…7231backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 42c | 930.95$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.95 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 60c | 923.5$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.1 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 59c | 906.2$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 65c | 867.73$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.03 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 56c | 853.22$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 61c | 844.86$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.36 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 62c | 797.71$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.9 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Yes | 41c | 772.13$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…ef4dbacked No | 58c | 770$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 42c | 689.63$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 40c | 650$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 74c | 609.74$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 39c | 515.18$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.26 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…8824backed Yes | 34c | 511.53$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 61c | 511$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.71 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 23c | 504$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.12 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 40c | 500.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.57 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 66c | 488$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.08 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…cf94backed Yes | 42c | 428$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 53c | 359.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Yes | 42c | 353.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 40c | 336.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Yes | 40c | 296.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…055abacked Yes | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…f499backed Yes | 43c | 270.87$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 61c | 263$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6a…d9b8backed Yes | 38c | 253.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 39c | 251.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb318…48cbbacked Yes | 40c | 250.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Yes | 40c | 247.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…d723backed Yes | 42c | 240.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…c745backed Yes | 43c | 233.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…9426backed No | 58c | 230$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 22c | 227.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 220.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 176$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 39c | 169.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…fec4backed Yes | 39c | 167.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 54c | 157.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +139%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed Yes | 37c | 129.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 41c | 129.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 40c | 126.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…5081backed No | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…a22bbacked Yes | 37c | 118.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…d024backed Yes | 44c | 115.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked No | 59c | 102.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 37c | 84.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…691abacked Yes | 78c | 83.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…251ebacked Yes | 29c | 79.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 41c | 78.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…fda0backed Yes | 27c | 75.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcf…6d9fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…19c4backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Yes | 74c | 59.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed No | 59c | 49.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 36.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSG beat Bayern Munich in regulation time?this page
- Will Bayern Munich beat PSG in regulation time?No won
- Will PSG vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw after regulation time?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.