CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs ENCE
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37ebece1e70c123da9c81499870cc687c3502f273e370847fb2bf8905be75494
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ENCEof M80, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked M80 | 26c | 3,544$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.46 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked ENCE | 41c | 3,026$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.77 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked M80 | 59c | 2,000$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed ENCE | 58c | 1,489$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.47 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed ENCE | 70c | 1,302$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.6 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed M80 | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.03 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ENCE | 40c | 978.09$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.63 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed ENCE | 43c | 610.95$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.02 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed M80 | 57c | 605.56$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.17 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked ENCE | 41c | 600$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked M80 | 27c | 562$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed M80 | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed M80 | 58c | 474.2$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.04 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…3604backed M80 | 60c | 332.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed M80 | 61c | 311.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed ENCE | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked ENCE | 76c | 184$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked M80 | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked M80 | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…31b6backed M80 | 59c | 66.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…6a20backed ENCE | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed ENCE | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed ENCE | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked M80 | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.