TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Atlético Madrid beat Botafogo?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a7e…fce4backed No43c13,403$5,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,763.0229136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed No41c8,954$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,671.712055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes56c4,889$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.8817852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes59c3,177$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.514143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No42c3,055$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.66552.3%34 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No42c2,980$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.1538935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes58c2,972$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.4130657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Yes58c2,347$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.745448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed No43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes58c2,309$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.9612359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.997548%36 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes59c1,989$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.3412536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No60c1,824$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.295858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.719142.9%39 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Yes59c1,633$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes28c1,577$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.7410736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes54c1,437$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.2220948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed Yes54c1,326$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.291952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.481963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No47c1,028$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3830754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Yes58c1,024$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.983666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4405764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes47c993.23$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.25628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b9…314cbacked No42c990$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No33c900$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29711132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed No42c841.86$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.484367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…38bfbacked Yes58c635$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20525450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8704…4b8dbacked No4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…c83fbacked No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed Yes55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes50c492.68$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3415250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes58c442.4$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8124963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked No70c406$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.141872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No41c399.94$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9813333.1%44 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes50c393.66$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8317348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes57c353.12$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8424742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked No42c348$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.164858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes58c338.72$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.262646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a3…350ebacked Yes45c334.59$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.431136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes59c330$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.32045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+363.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Yes59c310.17$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.173060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Yes59c305.34$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed No37c303.27$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.182920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-64.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes59c300$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1226056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12912956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.712356.5%13 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8baf…6f15backed Yes58c275$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No40c255.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1828543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4837…9103backed No59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes59c240.68$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6816447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked No41c220$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.21631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.94961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x442a…7c94backed No41c199.79$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.595437%20 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes52c182$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…fcb3backed Yes52c178$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes54c167.1$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7816036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb886…893abacked Yes58c163.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.79850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+65.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes71c151.39$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.841435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Yes67c140$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes58c139.6$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6311036.4%40 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No61c130$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6521744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yes64c124$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.324062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf353…7c89backed No43c117.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3b9…66acbacked Yes57c109.7$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.962433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32f…5866backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd469…6255backed No42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a12…d25dbacked Yes56c93.55$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed Yes58c90.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.95242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…ba60backed No41c89.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes56c89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.756376.2%48 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6955…41e9backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3282…7716backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked No47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355829.3%17 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c61…f292backed Yes58c73.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea1c…0868backed Yes52c73.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes59c71.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.191250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed No50c70.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.976331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ebb…73eabacked Yes60c68.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.581154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6e…9191backed Yes44c66.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.49977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes44c63.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.645040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d3…11fbbacked No48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed Yes58c61.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes52c56.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.235238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes65c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5213048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5815…36f7backed No43c51.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33b3…9f56backed Yes58c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.421833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yes51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.54040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Yes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed No35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.56225.8%16 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b52…5758backed Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.