TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Padresof Rockies, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$445,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$449,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies31c317,048$97,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,484.8238043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres69c75,538$52,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,389.0263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Padres70c74,528$52,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,071.2635854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Padres69c66,000$45,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,460.0745248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Padres70c29,293$20,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,662.521,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres69c28,154$19,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,727.621,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rockies31c20,339$6,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,301.8134245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Rockies22c15,620$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50011345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres71c15,303$10,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3711,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies31c13,259$4,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,110.2756451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Padres69c10,000$6,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.3125453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Padres69c9,765$6,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,993.8112247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Rockies31c9,511$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.729135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Padres69c7,930$5,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.35940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Padres69c7,572$5,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.1823455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies23c7,460$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.512,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Padres76c6,006$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.239,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Padres70c5,605$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.115944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e2…322bbacked Rockies31c5,009$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.792133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Padres69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5506653%35 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres69c4,117$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.252,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Rockies25c3,838$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95857744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Padres69c3,132$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.5869249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8086…22b7backed Padres69c3,033$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.232556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Padres68c2,315$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.881,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockies30c2,036$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.8943949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…114dbacked Rockies29c2,000$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.52347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Padres74c1,961$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.3621847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies20c1,958$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Padres68c1,658$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.511,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Padres69c1,590$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies31c1,501$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.350843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rockies15c1,498$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3727213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Padres69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.284060%24 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Padres73c1,400$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38451953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked Rockies32c1,275$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4087443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Padres69c1,245$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.9512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies7c1,233$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.841,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres78c1,146$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.654,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Rockies31c1,092$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.5212436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Padres69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31017354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Padres69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3108562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Padres69c916.45$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.120748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies31c870.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0144443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Rockies7c842.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8833137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockies30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Padres68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2561,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Padres69c798.49$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5312558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rockies31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21730151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Rockies31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18624040.8%98 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres69c596.5$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.921,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Padres69c582.46$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.461,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Padres69c579$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.491,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies31c557.08$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6951347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rockies3c549.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.025852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Padres69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c4…40cdbacked Padres69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7810154.5%55 W · 46 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockies31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12495850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Rockies13c365.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.944531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.322,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Padres69c345$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9520747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres79c342$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.568769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5c4…a9e7backed Rockies32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked Padres72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Rockies31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Padres68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Padres69c290$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.99357%53 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Padres69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8612459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c8…9be5backed Padres69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Padres70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Padres70c284.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.729349.5%46 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Rockies29c283$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0719747.2%93 W · 104 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa8…2071backed Padres69c275.36$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.36580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rockies30c264$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Padres69c260$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.631145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Padres75c246.02$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Padres69c235$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.853855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Padres71c220.05$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.051,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c5d…0774backed Padres69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.392572%18 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00c0…dfeebacked Padres69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.392788.9%24 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+30.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Rockies25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Padres69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628356.6%47 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0166…c1aebacked Padres69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76dd…59e8backed Padres70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Padres68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Rockies32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Padres70c166$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies31c161$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.911,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Padres70c157.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3323248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x240b…80a4backed Rockies32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Padres72c149.05$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.436261.3%38 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Padres69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c2…1193backed Padres69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c6…5fc0backed Rockies32c134.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Padres69c133.43$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6614654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Padres70c118.57$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5799951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Padres70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.291,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd902…a809backed Padres70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+107.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Padres69c113.77$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.274057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.