Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf414ea313837ae29ec643d28e2ec64be5346067097e2ba35b30d606957c55ea1

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,830 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb100…6461backed Yes	0c	9,999$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	39c	6,607$2,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,047.96	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	39c	4,100$1,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,480.49	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes	61c	4,000$2,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,440	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes	62c	3,233$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No	39c	3,060$1,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,865.87	414	37.9%157 W · 257 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes	3c	2,901$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.41	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.99	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes	35c	1,962$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.46	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No	56c	1,805$1,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.21	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No	55c	1,743$963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.43	153	47.7%73 W · 80 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes	24c	1,590$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.95	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	38c	1,504$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.48	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	78c	1,413$1,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.76	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes	61c	1,398$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.69	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes	58c	1,198$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.84	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc45…a699backed Yes	4c	1,186$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.89	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	20cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes	43c	1,165$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed No	41c	1,157$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.71	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	39c	1,038$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.93	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	406	40.9%166 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0583…054dbacked Yes	61c	1,000$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No	40c	1,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	346	43.9%152 W · 194 L	-14.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	38c	999.95$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.97	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c6…5fc0backed No	45c	880.81$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.3	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes	60c	816.52$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.91	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	64cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50ac…00a0backed Yes	61c	655.74$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked No	77c	648.27$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.27	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No	39c	648$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.92	561	58.6%329 W · 232 L	+29.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes	50c	642.68$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Yes	24c	500.52$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.33	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Yes	54c	492.08$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.75	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes	60c	482.99$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.79	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes	62c	482.73$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.29	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Yes	61c	434.46$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.06	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No	62c	397.36$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.19	342	51.8%177 W · 165 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes	61c	389.13$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.37	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	39c	388.98$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.86	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1239…f34cbacked Yes	30c	380.7$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.71	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes	62c	345.26$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes	61c	327.42$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No	39c	324$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.96	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes	61c	323.2$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.15	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	38cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	60c	300$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes	61c	300$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	296	53%157 W · 139 L	-23.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No	63c	299.07$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.67	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+27.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a31…fed2backed Yes	62c	291.49$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.72	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No	75c	281.07$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	213	53.1%113 W · 100 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes	61c	265.61$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.02	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce2…060bbacked Yes	60c	264.45$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0643…7b30backed Yes	22c	263.29$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.66	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a1…3726backed No	77c	259.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fca…4657backed Yes	42c	258.97$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No	39c	256$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.16	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Yes	62c	255.29$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.95	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes	61c	245.9$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes	61c	245.9$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	256	37.9%97 W · 159 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Yes	11c	232.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked No	40c	222.5$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.5	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	54c	206.63$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.92	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes	61c	204.92$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes	61c	200$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	211	53.1%112 W · 99 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes	61c	200$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	427	55%235 W · 192 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…b756backed Yes	62c	200$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes	61c	196.64$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.95	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf01d…4864backed Yes	27c	185.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-4.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-21%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x612a…3c9cbacked Yes	61c	180.95$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.38	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes	61c	173.77$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-5.6wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	60c	173.36$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.02	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes	61c	163.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf305…4c09backed Yes	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2580…2986backed Yes	23c	161.3$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes	60c	150$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.5	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes	61c	149.94$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.95	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes	33c	128.94$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-9.4wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-31%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x97c7…049abacked No	40c	117.29$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+148.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed No	76c	116.56$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.42	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+19%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No	39c	112.8$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.81	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No	40c	106.66$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.14	401	35.2%141 W · 260 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed No	41c	104.17$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.46	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-3.9wins	-0.17per pick	69cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed Yes	61c	103.28$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked No	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x152f…cc4ebacked Yes	61c	94.18$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.45	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Yes	61c	93.2$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.85	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	62cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x97f4…4ee9backed No	41c	90.29$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No	40c	87.5$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	156	36.5%57 W · 99 L	-11.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes	61c	82.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.44	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeb3…a376backed Yes	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-44%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba86…a66abacked Yes	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a78…8ed1backed Yes	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.19per pick	44cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	24c	81.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes	59c	80$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.2	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cb…5c1bbacked No	42c	74.05$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.05	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	39cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes	61c	73.97$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x722c…515fbacked Yes	24c	72.75$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.46	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?this page
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18?Yes won
Will Newcastle vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event