Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x010196850c290b12dcc18a5d8c332f1899ca8b85b9d99eeb4e13b271d71e56bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 2c | 1,951$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 70c | 1,148$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 77c | 1,055$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…efeebacked Yes | 23c | 965.06$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 76c | 749.96$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…086fbacked No | 78c | 640.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 32c | 622.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 23c | 521.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 77c | 469.78$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 30c | 468$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 68c | 439.54$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…0658backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 26c | 402.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 23c | 399.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda57…9a0abacked Yes | 24c | 366.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 22c | 263.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Yes | 31c | 248.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 74c | 230.75$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 34c | 219.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 13c | 200.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…a699backed Yes | 24c | 166.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 164.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…8061backed No | 78c | 143.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 77c | 115.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 23c | 108.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 105.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…b538backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…18c5backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 21c | 99.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 67c | 90.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 73c | 87.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…2684backed No | 78c | 85.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 70c | 85.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 77c | 71.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Yes | 30c | 67.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 21c | 64.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 77c | 63.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 33c | 60.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…916dbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes | 30c | 36.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0713…0ce5backed No | 78c | 29.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 76c | 29.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaead…4b9ebacked No | 79c | 18.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…0a3dbacked No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 79cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18?Yes won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.