Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3a22f6bcac52af83616e7861e46784b9e449a3590202706e61cea41a0651e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 6,114$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.41 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 64c | 4,414$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.42 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.93 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 71c | 2,597$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.71 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 31c | 1,879$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.63 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 80c | 1,661$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.57 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Yes | 64c | 1,438$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…f57dbacked No | 77c | 1,308$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 74c | 1,110$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.29 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 60c | 1,063$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.47 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 68c | 955.45$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.45 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 497.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.29 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 62c | 461.85$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.88 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369d…6d58backed No | 64c | 439.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 18c | 428.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.01 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 48c | 426.9$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 35c | 310.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 52c | 283.13$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 18c | 270$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 19c | 261.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 46c | 232.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 32c | 206.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…4d4ebacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Yes | 49c | 163.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 19c | 150.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.13 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 62c | 124$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 31c | 122.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 19c | 108.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…c4f7backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…676fbacked Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 45c | 78.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 71.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…1d0bbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…f37bbacked Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…fd64backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 78c | 53.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…f34cbacked Yes | 62c | 49.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…dcc8backed Yes | 57c | 47.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed No | 48c | 47.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…916dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…2986backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…79fdbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 66c | 28.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84d…1557backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 57c | 23.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf185…1bd1backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 72c | 19.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…2d04backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.