Olympics · resolved market
Women's Group A - Czechia vs. Finland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c8a6df6464a4cbf0b961fc5b0d1dc8d2134918691d9a9359392ba68ca3a8419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Czechiaof Czechia, Finland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Finland | 1c | 4,566$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Czechia | 63c | 1,000$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Czechia | 69c | 959.53$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.53 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Finland | 37c | 763$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Finland | 40c | 668$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Finland | 8c | 303.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Finland | 38c | 264.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Czechia | 63c | 203$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Finland | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Finland | 38c | 199.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Finland | 41c | 169.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Czechia | 66c | 151.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Czechia | 59c | 109.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Finland | 40c | 108.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Finland | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Finland | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Czechia | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Czechia | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Finland | 34c | 62.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Finland | 38c | 56.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Finland | 33c | 56.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Czechia | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Czechia | 67c | 49.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Czechia | 63c | 47.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…5fc0backed Czechia | 57c | 42.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Czechia | 64c | 39.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…654fbacked Czechia | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…69fbbacked Finland | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbe…828ebacked Czechia | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Czechia | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Finland | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…e8fcbacked Czechia | 64c | 27.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70a…7107backed Czechia | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…0e5cbacked Czechia | 61c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0ce2backed Czechia | 61c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353a…06c5backed Czechia | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…ffdbbacked Czechia | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…3036backed Czechia | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…16c8backed Czechia | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…9683backed Czechia | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…e404backed Czechia | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.