Fifa International · resolved market
Will Georgia win on 2025-09-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5859a6d33bb120844dfb3d807e2b3d4f9d0c8df013af389c8a28d26d0988751f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 7,405$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 70c | 5,880$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…8e24backed Yes | 12c | 1,100$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 34c | 947.06$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 67c | 372.93$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 272.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 29c | 209.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…811abacked Yes | 32c | 199.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 144$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 26c | 130.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…2317backed Yes | 34c | 121.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…5fc0backed No | 70c | 108$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…dd23backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…f0bbbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…f1c4backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…09b5backed No | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 68c | 84.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 70c | 75.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…8383backed Yes | 31c | 64.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 64.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed No | 71c | 59.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…2e76backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…7163backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 31cpaid | +253.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…9987backed Yes | 36c | 44.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia win on 2025-09-04?this page
- Will Georgia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?No won
- Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.