Movies · resolved market
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b0c49cabacd3e420efa1d02e0866847573156290ae61fe9c24e7ae9238de19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 29c | 17,216$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.51 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 80c | 5,183$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 38c | 4,275$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 34c | 2,507$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.64 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 70c | 2,350$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 78c | 1,984$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.3 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed Yes | 27c | 1,758$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,616$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.73 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 62c | 1,516$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.32 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 20c | 1,412$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.37 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 63c | 1,410$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.87 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…0a81backed Yes | 34c | 1,407$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 63c | 1,273$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.96 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 30c | 1,200$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,175$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.34 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 27c | 1,100$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…c89dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 26c | 985$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.35 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 28c | 970$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 24c | 952.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.21 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 76c | 900$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 74c | 890.72$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.73 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 66c | 832.07$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.87 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 28c | 827$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.25 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed No | 13c | 788.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 32c | 720.14$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.44 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 30c | 687.1$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 31c | 650$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 66c | 600$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 38c | 558.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ecdebacked Yes | 31c | 535.82$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 25c | 463.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 78c | 430$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 46c | 411.57$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 53c | 395.03$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 37c | 392$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 28c | 381$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 360.91$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 35c | 358.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 71c | 349.26$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 31c | 322.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 23c | 297$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 24c | 290.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…6dd7backed Yes | 21c | 287.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…f033backed Yes | 36c | 280$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 37c | 245.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 22c | 240$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 47c | 217.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 22c | 210$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…5cafbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Yes | 31c | 191$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 167.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 18c | 160$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 62c | 159.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 27c | 143.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 74c | 140.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bba…08a5backed Yes | 36c | 138.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 63c | 128.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked No | 57c | 113.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed No | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b7…359cbacked Yes | 28c | 107.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Yes | 43c | 100.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…4b28backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 12c | 97.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Yes | 34c | 85.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…c26abacked Yes | 30c | 79.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a64…4b81backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 16c | 71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…65babacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 33c | 67.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes | 37c | 66.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…48f5backed Yes | 75c | 65.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…bc0cbacked Yes | 31c | 64.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 29c | 56.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 29c | 56.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 35c | 54.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…4372backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…e94fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…4ce9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc9…7870backed Yes | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e632backed Yes | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?this page
- Will Coralie Fargeat win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Substance"?No won
- Will Jacques Audiard win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Emilia Pérez"?No won
- Will James Mangold win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "A Complete Unknown"?No won
- Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.