Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6da77a81d27aed412899450a01b256eaeadf799e9af00f7cb5785710f093a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,050$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 1,982$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.68 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 1,696$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.74 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 1,599$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.33 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 69c | 1,437$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.41 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 36c | 1,235$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.6 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 28c | 856.46$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.88 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 49c | 725$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 57c | 693.69$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.59 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 61c | 571.18$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.26 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 31c | 550$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.71 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 50c | 510.82$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 31c | 485.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.78 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 29c | 443.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.71 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 385.3$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.71 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…1ab6backed Yes | 30c | 352.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…8302backed Yes | 31c | 325.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 31c | 325.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 31c | 314.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 32c | 314.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…6717backed Yes | 32c | 313.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…9e72backed Yes | 31c | 280.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 72c | 278.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 68c | 273.17$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 33c | 269.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 31c | 206.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…33e8backed Yes | 80c | 205.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…4f11backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 31c | 162.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 31c | 161.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 31c | 158.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 31c | 157.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 31c | 148.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 69c | 103.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 30c | 102.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…eccfbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…9f30backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…305fbacked Yes | 31c | 94.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 29c | 94.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…e492backed No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 54.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 53.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 28c | 52.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 55c | 46.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 71c | 44.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 71c | 44.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 56c | 43.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 69c | 36.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed No | 32c | 35.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…809dbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 69c | 26.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 61c | 24.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 70c | 17.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will Dinamo Zagreb vs. Fenerbahce end in a draw?No won
- Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-09-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.