Champions League · resolved market
Will PSV beat Liverpool?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0167644da3944ee073ababe2b431686f1bf06104bf64b7f62b5bedd08b12368a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 47c | 4,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 57c | 3,271$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed No | 60c | 3,203$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,561$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.08 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 56c | 1,793$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,021$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.56 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 58c | 782.85$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.02 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 536$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 44c | 496.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 41c | 486.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.31 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 67c | 450$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 42c | 293.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.25 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 56c | 257.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 41c | 255$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.05 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed No | 43c | 224.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…d781backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +188%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 134$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 134$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed No | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…9538backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed No | 43c | 58.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9ca0backed No | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…1a37backed Yes | 43c | 39.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…deaabacked No | 58c | 39.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d14…4470backed Yes | 42c | 39.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…13c5backed No | 57c | 38.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…68edbacked No | 57c | 38.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025a…cef9backed Yes | 42c | 30.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed5…44e5backed No | 57c | 30.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…0fc0backed No | 56c | 29.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…a9d6backed Yes | 43c | 29.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc496…75bcbacked No | 57c | 29.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…eaadbacked Yes | 43c | 29.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 41c | 28.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009f…358abacked No | 57c | 25.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…a154backed Yes | 42c | 25.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…f3cebacked No | 57c | 25.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…94d6backed Yes | 44c | 24.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…5f39backed No | 58c | 23.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…1158backed No | 58c | 21.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…07a0backed No | 58c | 17.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV beat Liverpool?this page
- Will Liverpool beat PSV Eindhoven?No won
- Will the match between PSV Eindhoven and Liverpool end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.