Champions League · resolved market
Will the match between PSV Eindhoven and Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aa0cf3d8dc4c6c78d0c64fe2aa96c87fa3d6625b79926179b6728615ae37f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 73c | 438.62$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…a376backed Yes | 27c | 381.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 27c | 157.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…ca1abacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Yes | 16c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 24c | 107.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 76c | 99.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 55.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…5a2cbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 25c | 50.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…1babbacked No | 75c | 44.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6613…144abacked Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 73c | 39.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked No | 73c | 37.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between PSV Eindhoven and Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool beat PSV Eindhoven?No won
- Will PSV beat Liverpool?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.