TailMyPicks
Market

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$356,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25a7…2f87backed No37c128,080$47,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,527.13333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes65c65,666$42,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,192.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes66c26,981$17,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,092.818939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes43c23,286$10,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,159.473228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No31c21,446$6,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,697.268622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes58c19,999$11,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.585255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes73c17,936$13,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,791.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Yes58c13,357$7,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,609.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No47c12,483$5,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,839.9421337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes68c7,384$5,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.041338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes61c6,790$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.023917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa589…176bbacked Yes61c6,096$3,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.87560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes69c5,462$3,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes53c5,238$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.16732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes67c5,000$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,66011547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No13c4,261$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.465028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed No39c4,076$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.41618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes56c3,918$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.422536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes70c3,806$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.542123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick18cpaid-57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No59c3,396$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.7114356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes77c2,425$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.851776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No22c1,993$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.229223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes68c1,974$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3412646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes61c1,952$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.18944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No55c1,803$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.0412353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No34c1,792$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.542425%6 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed No25c1,600$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3931323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes43c1,600$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.496835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked No6c1,574$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.95570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes69c1,570$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49012246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb93…2c47backed No1c1,531$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed No41c1,506$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.884348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No40c1,500$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60515932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No31c1,455$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4447028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes73c1,339$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.042360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a55dbacked Yes72c1,242$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1974…29edbacked Yes68c1,220$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No55c1,023$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.241580%12 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3808330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6af…e12fbacked No41c999.98$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.994134.1%14 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked No59c980.48$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.481931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes59c965.88$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.085759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Yes50c925.48$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.091338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No59c899.97$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.9820843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes68c736.63$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.563713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Yes41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed Yes67c731$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.773658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes40c585.28$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.433444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes68c532.42$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No55c527.41$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6114458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8528…d446backed Yes60c500.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.332433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes46c471.47$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.471546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa11…ecafbacked Yes71c440.49$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No58c427.56$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9810051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No30c411.34$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0712616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No61c400.59$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.173250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes38c377.73$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.036866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No63c357.14$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No41c351$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.912080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No63c331.11$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.63348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked No27c325$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes57c324.74$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes69c318$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.083716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked No62c309.03$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.132661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes67c290.35$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.826225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes69c283.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.793259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No21c266.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.945763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes55c265.98$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.846246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No58c254.14$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x616f…6012backed Yes62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.174228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2437…3906backed Yes62c246.04$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad4…ff91backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c6…ae20backed Yes42c239.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed No27c238.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.335714%8 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed No42c208.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No21c204.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.993571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x924a…8af5backed Yes42c204.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1247950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d9b…1056backed Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+53.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No25c199.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.499165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x132c…5d2fbacked Yes67c187.94$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Yes60c184.42$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2df…0fbdbacked Yes60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No29c164.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.494673.9%34 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No25c161.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.22240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a3…7eecbacked Yes70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes68c147.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.262828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No31c140$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.076633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7250…5468backed No36c130.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b2…31b3backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac3…e05cbacked Yes67c123.97$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.361070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.