La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf7b5dd2c0afbe8b2b75c355f8ef703d7ccf24163be1438838bb8b9486dea9c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 33c | 7,576$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 67c | 7,485$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.09 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 33c | 3,284$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 1,562$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 69c | 980.95$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.09 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 828$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.62 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 721$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.72 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 31c | 663.83$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 465$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 77c | 350$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 32c | 237.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 68c | 197.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 32c | 156.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bd8ebacked Yes | 32c | 125.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 73c | 116.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 111.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 105.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 33c | 91.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No | 69c | 73.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 31c | 57.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…f941backed No | 70c | 42.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 69c | 17.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e5…7087backed No | 70c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Villarreal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-08-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.