Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7525341716fa8a043ad1a19afc7dcf99be8911460a17e167516a95d2c44d9335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 2,550$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 78c | 2,306$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.4 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 80c | 2,122$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.41 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 13c | 1,155$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 78c | 1,120$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.38 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 78c | 924.04$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.29 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 18c | 874.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 18c | 690$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 22c | 655.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Yes | 19c | 600$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 80c | 501.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 20c | 486.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 420$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…33b3backed Yes | 16c | 335.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 22c | 276.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…b40ebacked No | 78c | 249.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…ca1abacked No | 80c | 199.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 20c | 199.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Yes | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 15c | 97.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 80c | 76.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…9434backed No | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 64.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…cb54backed Yes | 22c | 59.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…328fbacked No | 80c | 15.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.