TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4957…4cbcbacked Yes31c54,577$16,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,918.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc41…3873backed No69c54,577$37,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,918.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c2…64aabacked Yes29c49,455$14,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,341.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6818…72d1backed No71c49,455$35,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,341.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0727…c055backed No68c31,265$21,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,004.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8c…8b9ebacked Yes32c31,265$10,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,004.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes25c5,825$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.5122927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No75c4,500$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1252245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes25c3,946$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.522524%6 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb277…d809backed Yes1c1,611$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.111346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No76c1,347$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.54344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes40c1,161$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes37c1,013$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.062832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes34c1,006$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.091435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes24c818.73$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.713941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3396…458dbacked Yes31c779.69$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.711947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes27c775.71$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3622640.3%91 W · 135 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes28c599.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7519939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed No75c589.03$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.414240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ec…4612backed Yes19c581.29$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.762416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick11cpaid-50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes36c550$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes8c550$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433030%9 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes36c470.54$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.495335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes29c466.72$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3724732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No77c461.98$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3814938.9%58 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4da…2db1backed Yes35c422.58$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.62166.3%1 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-71.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No77c416.88$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.886642.4%28 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc980…ef3dbacked Yes21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd514…5353backed No79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed No65c367$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.45837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x440b…d50cbacked No78c340.78$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes24c320$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.85721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes24c314.58$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.856628.8%19 W · 47 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f0…9941backed Yes32c313.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No76c307$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.564012.5%5 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-73.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+67.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes35c297.3$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2310235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes23c294.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.51910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-70.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Yes26c292.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+134.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes24c274.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.099335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e0…7ffabacked No71c256.68$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.682070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+93.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No75c256$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.811553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+112.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7207…4e02backed No65c254.5$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c37…92a4backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes28c228.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No61c220$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.729844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Yes27c212.71$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.43520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d9…9695backed Yes30c210$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.42035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes32c206.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.325836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed Yes36c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c193.68$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.337740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed Yes25c185.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.012035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc011…6a60backed Yes33c178.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.312123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes33c176.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.172638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No63c175.51$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.923935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed No74c164.26$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.383740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes24c160.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4516334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes25c160.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.785738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e6b…a799backed Yes22c156.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.662321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No62c145.44$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.052161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x356a…ce5bbacked Yes35c145$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes24c137$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.223026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77d7…6547backed Yes29c137$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.73520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d31…9862backed No72c127.48$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.44850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+80.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf968…84bdbacked Yes26c123.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.134928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No66c123.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.62540%10 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No60c121$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.45563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed No70c112.49$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes36c111.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No64c105.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.44746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e27…d603backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eda…d4ddbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed No65c72$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa834…6ee3backed Yes34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+53.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed Yes36c55.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes28c53.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8515119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No76c49.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.843450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x403b…db3bbacked Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No77c44.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes24c41.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.044629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No76c38.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.343154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204c…df35backed Yes32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101618.8%3 W · 13 L-6.6wins-0.41per pick60cpaid-68%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x87ba…9fd1backed No75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2346…48d0backed No62c23.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x651a…3da9backed No75c17.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04e7…eeadbacked No68c15.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca0…e17abacked No64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.637549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.