Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0cadb1f0921391de077c756287931b71070c9ecb7d72e09f8bd461dd8e0d86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 75c | 3,580$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.23 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 3,100$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 75c | 2,503$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.52 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 75c | 2,400$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 23c | 1,555$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.73 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 77c | 1,196$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 21c | 900$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.26 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Yes | 25c | 690.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…07acbacked Yes | 25c | 406.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 75c | 328.34$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 76c | 233.86$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 76c | 199.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 24c | 195.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 160.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 74c | 139.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…0b66backed No | 76c | 137.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002b…20f1backed Yes | 25c | 135.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 75c | 132.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Yes | 26c | 101.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 76c | 92.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba2…2803backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…04babacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…f769backed Yes | 25c | 54.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 75c | 51.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa078…5b2bbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8322…06f1backed No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Leeds United end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-09-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.