Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Leeds United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bb67eb3df846c16a81af00247ead377acac891267f28af5a1e415cba8220195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 2,348$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 11c | 955$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.19 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 27c | 916.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 73c | 900$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 414.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.68 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 58c | 286.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 27c | 258.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed No | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0b31backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 58c | 88.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Yes | 44c | 83.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Leeds United end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-09-13?Yes won
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.