F1 · resolved market
F1 Canadian Grand Prix: Red Flag?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd80b1fd0cb6397af85489f26fd6c41186b39b858f21f6422450966412e62a911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 653.8$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.76 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…1ad5backed Yes | 20c | 600.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 26c | 474.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 30c | 345.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 72c | 255.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 77c | 207.8$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 28c | 204.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 78c | 136.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 78c | 106.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…0149backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 14c | 104.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed Yes | 21c | 91.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…3176backed Yes | 20c | 76.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3845…4c75backed Yes | 28c | 58.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 77c | 55.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…38febacked No | 79c | 13.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.