Fifa International · resolved market
Will England vs. Serbia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bfe8c888ded2970b704a2602f7c4150a0ef73e983feb81de6ca960605d3d692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 19c | 7,872$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.3 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 19c | 3,484$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.46 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…e66abacked Yes | 16c | 3,480$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,046$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,449$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.41 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 17c | 1,147$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 16c | 999.74$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 16c | 910.83$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…d29dbacked Yes | 17c | 670$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…c8c2backed Yes | 18c | 659.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 567.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0258backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 20c | 436.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9baf…bd11backed Yes | 17c | 295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 16c | 294.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 14c | 208.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…1805backed Yes | 17c | 127.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Yes | 17c | 118.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…599fbacked Yes | 17c | 115$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…57d4backed Yes | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…f6a5backed Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 16c | 70.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Yes | 17c | 61.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England vs. Serbia end in a draw?this page
- Will England win on 2025-11-13?Yes won
- Will Serbia win on 2025-11-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.