Fifa International · resolved market
Will Serbia win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5c17864908d0e30f930388ceaeffd3d56d312217b3e715045ab0bd506d3c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 4,050$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 8c | 4,016$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 8c | 3,266$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 6c | 2,869$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…b589backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 7c | 2,289$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…1a0ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,743$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0258backed Yes | 5c | 1,175$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 8c | 1,113$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 912.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…2be4backed Yes | 9c | 674.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 8c | 653$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 533.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Yes | 8c | 428.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 6c | 330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8a…9a3bbacked Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3067…b8e5backed Yes | 7c | 163.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…57d4backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Yes | 7c | 149.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 149.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccde…8f58backed Yes | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa170…fba0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…5b46backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will England vs. Serbia end in a draw?No won
- Will England win on 2025-11-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.