Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc421a47d9b4f056d5a9b081a7526af0389e0c5f206a3cbdb33ab130204a0585e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94cc…5a2cbacked Yes | 30c | 50,927$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 36,946$25,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,986.53 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 9,861$6,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.97 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 8,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.98 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 4,330$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 4,105$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.92 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…5194backed Yes | 15c | 3,943$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 70c | 3,415$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.62 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 1,890$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.56 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 30c | 1,279$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.06 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 8c | 1,004$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 996$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.84 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 9c | 966.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 28c | 946.43$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 69c | 923.91$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 71c | 868.97$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 30c | 809.13$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.74 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…9465backed Yes | 29c | 420.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 4c | 416.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…6953backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 15c | 316.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 30c | 264.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 10c | 184.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 72c | 178.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…d06ebacked Yes | 30c | 156.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…f6ecbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 139.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…da0bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 30c | 100.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 70c | 82.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 32c | 49.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 49.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567b…27d7backed No | 79c | 48.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 69c | 44.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 70c | 35.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…d8aebacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked No | 76c | 23.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 70c | 22.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-10-26?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.