Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcc945c92dbc59ec0c7297dae013c1d82cce384e91ab706396c3fa31febf1471
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 11c | 34,777$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.36 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…a978backed Yes | 12c | 18,406$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.41 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 11c | 13,236$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.48 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 10c | 11,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 11c | 9,409$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 10c | 6,774$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.4 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Yes | 11c | 6,629$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.17 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 14c | 6,217$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.38 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…4ea0backed Yes | 11c | 5,410$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 11c | 5,037$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.02 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 11c | 4,577$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 12c | 4,252$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 11c | 3,557$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.25 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 12c | 3,083$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,186$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,120$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 11c | 1,803$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 11c | 1,654$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.97 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,572$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 12c | 1,511$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…01d9backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,357$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 1,150$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Yes | 11c | 1,131$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…aceebacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Yes | 3c | 807.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…0b40backed Yes | 11c | 780$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 759.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 9c | 600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 12c | 596$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 9c | 574$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 13c | 543.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7449…65ebbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 12c | 499.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Yes | 11c | 469.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…4118backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 12c | 367.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…ad3abacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773f…267bbacked Yes | 12c | 275.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Yes | 11c | 268.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5b0bbacked Yes | 12c | 258.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0e9fbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 11c | 230$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 187.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…f3d4backed Yes | 12c | 186$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8877…8ad4backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…b60ebacked Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…ab0ebacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 12c | 119$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…db55backed Yes | 12c | 117.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…f1f6backed Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…d4f8backed Yes | 12c | 108.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…7d78backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…2cadbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.