Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9959136c2c127bd2a6b27c59536433650b2e6c09d3ef73c5a3dd99e0f1bd196d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 80c | 57,500$45,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 20c | 47,476$9,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,495.16 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed No | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…3f02backed Yes | 21c | 9,998$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 8,515$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 79c | 6,300$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,041$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.79 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 18c | 2,571$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 22c | 1,427$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 1,147$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.87 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 21c | 952.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 76c | 773.7$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 25c | 477$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…8e3abacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 79c | 423.47$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 80c | 395$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed Yes | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 4c | 325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 19c | 197.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 31c | 187.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 171$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…a767backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 20c | 100.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…2cadbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 22c | 59.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…b60ebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…96b3backed Yes | 31c | 49.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…592cbacked No | 80c | 32.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-10-18?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.