Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Jaume Munar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7af729da024b1c85ae0029cc57309afe5d841bfbf25f161eb1e3a1df9c0fd4f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Munar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Munar | 32c | 15,555$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.6 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Munar | 9c | 8,448$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.08 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Musetti | 69c | 8,000$5,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.17 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Musetti | 69c | 3,158$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Musetti | 68c | 2,482$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.27 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Munar | 31c | 2,214$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.41 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Munar | 31c | 2,050$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Musetti | 67c | 2,010$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.94 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Musetti | 67c | 1,864$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Munar | 33c | 1,763$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.77 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Musetti | 69c | 1,700$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Munar | 3c | 1,308$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Munar | 2c | 1,302$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Munar | 32c | 1,288$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.12 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Musetti | 66c | 1,210$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.58 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Munar | 32c | 1,172$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.04 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Munar | 13c | 1,147$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 581 | 39.9%232 W · 349 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Munar | 3c | 1,115$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Munar | 32c | 1,098$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.37 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Munar | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Munar | 32c | 799.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Munar | 27c | 763.09$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Musetti | 67c | 656.28$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.21 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Munar | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Munar | 7c | 593.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Munar | 32c | 576.18$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.38 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Munar | 31c | 571.06$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.03 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Musetti | 80c | 482.58$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Musetti | 67c | 440$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Musetti | 68c | 341.1$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Munar | 33c | 305.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Munar | 34c | 293.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 325 | 48%156 W · 169 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Munar | 30c | 280$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Musetti | 68c | 279.41$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…332bbacked Musetti | 80c | 275$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Munar | 25c | 247.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Munar | 32c | 244.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Musetti | 67c | 220$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Munar | 23c | 220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…9c10backed Musetti | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Musetti | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Munar | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Musetti | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Munar | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Musetti | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…5b58backed Musetti | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Musetti | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Musetti | 65c | 152$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Musetti | 67c | 148.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Musetti | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…e7bebacked Musetti | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Musetti | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…141cbacked Musetti | 78c | 125.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Munar | 18c | 116.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Munar | 10c | 104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Munar | 33c | 102.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Musetti | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Musetti | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Musetti | 68c | 76.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…69d5backed Munar | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Musetti | 78c | 74.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Musetti | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Musetti | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5b0bbacked Musetti | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Munar | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Munar | 33c | 59.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Musetti | 69c | 58.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Musetti | 67c | 41.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…ca5ebacked Musetti | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…d50dbacked Musetti | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4d8ebacked Musetti | 70c | 25.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Musetti | 78c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Musetti | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…ddddbacked Musetti | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Musetti | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.