Champions League · resolved market
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb91fea5fae61b7f6579d3b62463b92d32f9e8d84bf44a6ca00585ceecdb7f17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 22c | 5,077$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.92 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 77c | 970$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…1b30backed Yes | 23c | 800.62$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…0121backed No | 77c | 800.62$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 23c | 484.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 7c | 362.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 76c | 307.46$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 10c | 207.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…51abbacked Yes | 24c | 127.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 77c | 114.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bf64backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 17c | 74.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 23c | 70.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Yes | 23c | 69.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…c7ddbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…3d2abacked No | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 75c | 17.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-02-11?this page
- Will Juventus vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?No won
- Will Juventus win on 2025-02-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.