TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Juventus win on 2025-02-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No48c1,635$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No39c1,400$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.429244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes50c1,055$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.94143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…f4efbacked Yes50c999.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe81a…1643backed No49c999.91$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c968.5$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.5344955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes58c744.94$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.992050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No48c611.87$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.3238048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No48c595.18$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8630754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71bd…50d2backed Yes51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes53c551.61$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.466735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6ba…1c54backed Yes52c531.83$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes66c500$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17212862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes53c455.26$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.136527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5502…207ebacked Yes58c414.46$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.626170.5%43 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.625149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e0…b444backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed Yes44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b77…449fbacked No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.92313%3 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No45c205.13$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1317348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008142%34 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x212a…dbe8backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315567.3%37 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c3…dcaebacked Yes52c192.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfb…bea8backed No50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5ed…ca1abacked No51c176.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No24c176.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.258151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed No24c157.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No50c154.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2646956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No50c139.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8638356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb7…4612backed No50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c5…e9eebacked Yes51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474050%20 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4934449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No48c99.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5712359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0424455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4429…2e4dbacked Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-44.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf01d…4864backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaf9…0753backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes52c96.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2918650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1522547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe939…2af4backed Yes52c95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.63132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed No48c95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes79c93.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No56c86.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.541855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2873…fc1cbacked Yes60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c8…a8d1backed Yes54c73.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No49c70.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6516836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcea5…e0c1backed Yes53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes49c51.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3536851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33560%21 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked No51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5cd…cb2bbacked Yes50c47.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5df…9ce6backed No50c47.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x157d…65f2backed Yes50c44.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x043b…272dbacked No50c44.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2094…a1ddbacked No49c43.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a1…11e8backed No49c43.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd6…19e6backed Yes51c43.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85c1…e908backed No50c41.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32f3…6160backed Yes49c40.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…11b2backed No51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ed…5e8abacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…b4f6backed No51c39.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e25…650abacked No51c38.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4936…bf6bbacked Yes49c38.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e1…c0d9backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78c…affebacked Yes49c36.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5392…7729backed No51c36.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2061…ce1fbacked No50c35.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86a…b47dbacked No50c34.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a4e…1bc1backed No51c33.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdd…e05bbacked Yes50c31.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b32…c3b2backed No49c31.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a0…9fffbacked Yes51c30.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e92…395abacked Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.77846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…934dbacked No49c29.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb069…bb0cbacked Yes50c29.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa674…9df1backed No50c29.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb579…a228backed Yes50c29.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf92…37eabacked Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x803d…0229backed Yes50c29.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a8…9befbacked No49c28.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344a…ba39backed Yes51c28.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf15a…c412backed No49c28.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67e8…2e6dbacked Yes76c26.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf0…f977backed Yes50c25.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92c…02bcbacked Yes51c25.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed Yes51c25.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.362272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.