MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a5f790e76453a17e47e3e58d133e03d9ab21c1313ce650040e14b6570e816a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Philadelphia Phillies, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 15,460$7,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 7,442$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.15 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 7,061$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 6,833$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.97 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 5,951$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 3,076$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.76 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 1,917$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.45 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 1,516$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.48 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 1,342$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.42 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 1,329$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,023$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.72 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 828.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 683.97$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.48 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 583$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 310$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 302$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c3…dbbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 289.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 216.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…1e8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 178.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 132$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 64.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…993dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.