Ukraine · resolved market
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a5a4e039f293dc3366b9462ac33ef3138a62c00640cf638ab2a326bb959bb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 15c | 10,716$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.9 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…9b80backed Yes | 5c | 8,270$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 23c | 6,603$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.38 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed No | 77c | 5,065$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.06 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 18c | 4,549$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.23 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 65c | 3,850$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.5 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…8371backed No | 61c | 3,402$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…404abacked Yes | 3c | 3,174$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 38c | 2,993$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.2 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc481…471fbacked No | 51c | 2,794$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 19c | 2,779$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.85 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 25c | 2,773$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.89 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…acb1backed Yes | 64c | 2,722$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.38 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 65c | 2,530$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.29 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 25c | 2,505$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.64 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 70c | 2,352$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,318$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.48 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72c7…6378backed Yes | 52c | 2,299$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 58c | 1,881$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.55 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 34c | 1,823$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.99 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,812$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.22 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed No | 30c | 1,714$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 53c | 1,614$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.53 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 52c | 1,518$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.18 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed Yes | 53c | 1,514$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.27 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,470$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,450$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.46 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed No | 42c | 1,300$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…714dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,292$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,244$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 14c | 1,200$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3769…2799backed Yes | 16c | 1,176$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd922…310fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,147$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 1,102$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.31 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed No | 75c | 1,091$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed Yes | 45c | 974.82$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 9c | 974.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…d046backed No | 54c | 958.51$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 26c | 946.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 21c | 934.74$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…2dd6backed Yes | 8c | 920.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 4c | 919.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 20c | 917$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…7a7bbacked Yes | 56c | 885.7$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…5f61backed No | 75c | 877.66$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 49c | 801.28$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.17 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…74a2backed Yes | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 23c | 777.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed No | 73c | 744.27$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…886ebacked Yes | 7c | 682.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed No | 71c | 679.26$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 673.11$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Yes | 45c | 666.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed Yes | 36c | 653.45$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…1e7cbacked No | 54c | 622.61$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…5e02backed Yes | 52c | 611.14$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 61c | 598.8$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.79 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed Yes | 56c | 595.28$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…68b6backed No | 36c | 595.16$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…16f8backed Yes | 24c | 592.62$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 60c | 585.44$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 20c | 546.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…5fc1backed Yes | 7c | 544.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…d7a1backed No | 76c | 536.75$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 6c | 510$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 70c | 504.6$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9111…b68abacked Yes | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 80c | 482.19$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f1…bc37backed Yes | 23c | 476.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd233…b493backed Yes | 16c | 469.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 12c | 462.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 21c | 449.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 14c | 426.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 421.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 25c | 420$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 13c | 412.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 7c | 383.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 20c | 334.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 48c | 330.44$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 21c | 318.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 26c | 312.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 22c | 310$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 73c | 306.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a5…5facbacked No | 65c | 299.4$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 74c | 280$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…dd69backed Yes | 69c | 274.3$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…e35cbacked Yes | 18c | 271.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…30f6backed Yes | 21c | 254$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…751abacked Yes | 18c | 254$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…6f16backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed Yes | 28c | 235.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…6ba8backed Yes | 26c | 221.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…41cbbacked No | 71c | 215$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 211.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 19c | 210.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…c545backed Yes | 14c | 207$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…2df5backed Yes | 15c | 205$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.