MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa18430a92aa6e8c2f187b4b1146da109fd6021e75d0cf8780989e1cf667955c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Colorado Rockies, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Colorado Rockies | 0c | 30,035$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Colorado Rockies | 14c | 7,269$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.58 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Colorado Rockies | 25c | 5,666$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.5 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Colorado Rockies | 23c | 4,140$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.5 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Colorado Rockies | 24c | 3,572$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.84 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 2,897$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.15 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 2,516$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.87 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Colorado Rockies | 5c | 1,740$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Colorado Rockies | 24c | 1,307$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.68 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 1,134$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 914.17$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 838$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Colorado Rockies | 25c | 714.24$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.56 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 513.05$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colorado Rockies | 3c | 355.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Colorado Rockies | 25c | 224$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 194.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 153.93$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 141.64$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Colorado Rockies | 10c | 104.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Colorado Rockies | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…5d01backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 74.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6893…0ca8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 57.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 51.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 40.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 38.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…993dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…2dbcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.