Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland beat Real Sociedad?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x614345d0823db9c8aea916fa53fd51f80843924e70ea4aaf894455ee63f1853a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 3,726$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.35 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 76c | 3,445$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed No | 74c | 3,245$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 24c | 3,091$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.3 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 1,052$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.46 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 19c | 646.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 643$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 72c | 485$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 436$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 6c | 293.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…40fabacked Yes | 26c | 245$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 73c | 199.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 31c | 159.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 31c | 150.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 141.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…4875backed Yes | 25c | 135$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…b68fbacked Yes | 25c | 135$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…7b41backed No | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 75c | 117.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 112.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…95a8backed Yes | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…8617backed Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…4f73backed No | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…7d41backed Yes | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…fe3dbacked Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…7950backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…dc5ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…b933backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4315…9428backed Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc3…de78backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8ff1backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…208ebacked No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…7475backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…faedbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafc…7939backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…1adebacked No | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…44ebbacked Yes | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…ea64backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf9…9b3fbacked Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…70bcbacked No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…35e8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…37d9backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…c0c6backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…9dafbacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783d…362bbacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5194backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…0734backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…9c14backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…7f8dbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…bfccbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…1b8fbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014e…61aabacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…0eb3backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…e625backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…0ed1backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…9130backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…e690backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…4a3ebacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…b4debacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…8224backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…26bfbacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984a…5050backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…fc19backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…f480backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19aa…02efbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…62e9backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…de14backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…9d46backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f39…7043backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…a761backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…8f47backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…9958backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe223…abb8backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…138abacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…bacdbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d3…2d11backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b0…cdd9backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…7bd5backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…835dbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe8…5bbdbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…e5dbbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…7ffbbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d4…4cabbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc469…9ff6backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland beat Real Sociedad?this page
- Will Real Sociedead beat FC Midtjylland?Yes won
- Will the match between FC Midtjylland and Real Sociedad end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.