Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Real Sociedead beat FC Midtjylland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x508646c266c9ba81727057744bf340a2dcecf0a35b971f5a03ed59228c56b0b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 28c | 7,893$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.07 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 72c | 3,470$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.71 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 21c | 2,211$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.16 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Yes | 80c | 1,813$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 53c | 1,156$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 49c | 436.35$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.77 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 47c | 326$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.04 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Yes | 42c | 285.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…40fabacked No | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…a738backed Yes | 46c | 167.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 62c | 161.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa860…98f2backed Yes | 47c | 130.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…6dfdbacked Yes | 47c | 124.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…bc0cbacked No | 55c | 117.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…70bcbacked Yes | 46c | 115$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…4f73backed No | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked Yes | 46c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e92…77d2backed No | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…4875backed No | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 46c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…7d41backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…9dafbacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…7b41backed No | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598d…3244backed Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…9c14backed Yes | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…53c8backed No | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 58c | 73.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 54c | 72.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…41bfbacked No | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…7f8dbacked Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…bba0backed No | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…fe3dbacked Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ba…458cbacked Yes | 69c | 66.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…e690backed Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…0734backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…5bfabacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…262bbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd225…c3d4backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…dc5ebacked Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…b4debacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 42c | 59.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 55c | 56.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed No | 38c | 55.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5194backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…49ffbacked Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…f2aebacked Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa865…a2c3backed Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…26bfbacked Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…fc19backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…0eb3backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…0ed1backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3084…2638backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…b5c2backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…9d46backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…8224backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…4b94backed No | 52c | 45.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19aa…02efbacked Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1eb…933cbacked Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…a761backed No | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d4…4cabbacked Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…3836backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…e7d1backed No | 54c | 43.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 51c | 43.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802a…1d73backed No | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…db3fbacked Yes | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0be…f108backed Yes | 45c | 40.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f01…e82abacked Yes | 46c | 40.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…01c9backed Yes | 46c | 40.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…835dbacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…785dbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb687…26a4backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…62e9backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…de14backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…8f47backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa014…253ebacked Yes | 49c | 39.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…fb52backed No | 51c | 39.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 56c | 38.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b9…9e26backed No | 51c | 38.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…e22fbacked Yes | 49c | 38.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…b47dbacked Yes | 46c | 38.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd18…e699backed Yes | 42c | 37.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…4e29backed Yes | 48c | 37.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab29…1e60backed No | 53c | 37.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Yes | 69c | 37.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44d…c87bbacked Yes | 48c | 37.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd825…df34backed No | 54c | 36.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…15fabacked No | 54c | 35.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d3…2d11backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…0009backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedead beat FC Midtjylland?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland beat Real Sociedad?No won
- Will the match between FC Midtjylland and Real Sociedad end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.