MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1ec27d6808401016acda3c76bf8720cec3b2db97a3b62c75af1c9b655bad661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 150,031$100,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,192.66 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 44,270$13,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,366.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chicago Cubs | 33c | 42,996$14,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,719.88 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Chicago Cubs | 34c | 42,917$14,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,204.85 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 11,734$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,673.14 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 10,398$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,072.26 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Chicago Cubs | 27c | 4,601$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.75 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 3,967$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.32 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 3,687$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.38 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Chicago Cubs | 79c | 3,231$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 2,999$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.15 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Chicago Cubs | 33c | 2,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.56 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 2,124$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.3 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 1,773$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.11 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 34c | 1,453$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,406$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.92 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,255$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 953.82$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.4 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 870.25$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.41 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Chicago Cubs | 24c | 633.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.97 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 552.28$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.52 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 473.69$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.11 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Chicago Cubs | 32c | 407.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.84 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Chicago Cubs | 34c | 338.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.24 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…95e2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 5c | 284.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 5c | 248.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 238$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 173.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 160.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 93.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 61.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4839…ec4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 57.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…5823backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…5aacbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 47.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 47.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…993dbacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 31.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f1…d83fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…86b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…dcc7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 15.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.