MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2ae32152785426d05f93d32e1b33e0fd58a4a40d107aa1ce5211916a9428daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 23,036$14,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,392.43 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 21,000$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,019.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 9,741$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,541.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 8,581$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.41 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 7,062$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.09 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 6,452$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 4,863$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.83 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 4,803$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.14 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 4,651$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 2,392$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.84 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,683$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.18 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 1,573$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 1,300$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 1,027$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.89 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,000$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.09 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 777$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.89 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 753.93$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.44 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 649.04$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.07 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…79e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 604.84$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 487.13$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 317.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…a3a7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 195.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 171.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 161$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…95e2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 11c | 139.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 132$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 84.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 69.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 41.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eff…531fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 24.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 23.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cd…245dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 18.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.