Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f956aaebe0aadf2ad49411483802c43d2919b89d073c245fdeafbd9f35206e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 18c | 5,811$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…5766backed Yes | 33c | 2,386$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…92fabacked No | 67c | 1,336$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…dfcbbacked No | 67c | 1,256$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…a122backed No | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1392…ab2abacked Yes | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 34c | 1,014$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 66c | 999.97$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed No | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 65c | 570.39$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.22 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…161cbacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 34c | 441.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked No | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc94…7d98backed No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 64c | 345$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 34c | 289.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 36c | 262.79$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…0384backed Yes | 35c | 237.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 33c | 236.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 36c | 216.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…d4d8backed Yes | 33c | 206.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 67c | 204.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4af…6467backed Yes | 37c | 194.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 66c | 191.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 65c | 152$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 67c | 149.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 64c | 117$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 35c | 101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…1e95backed No | 67c | 88.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…02e3backed No | 67c | 85.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…2c4bbacked No | 67c | 64.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Yes | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5f…12c5backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…88a6backed No | 68c | 34.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 65c | 31.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 65c | 28.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f4…d060backed Yes | 35c | 28.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed No | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 66c | 18.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton win on 2025-02-01?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.