TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No9c19,774$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.4379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x374e…1d9fbacked Yes38c12,332$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,632.06944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No62c10,725$6,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,618.8140254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No62c8,700$5,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,425.955349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No27c5,710$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.2379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes37c5,050$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No63c4,611$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.4914659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes65c4,037$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.336854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No61c3,261$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.1483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Yes40c2,715$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.361844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed No63c2,629$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.272450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes40c1,827$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.144949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No61c1,500$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.7590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes37c1,440$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.24637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes38c1,429$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.2717837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No60c1,294$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.3416660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No61c1,130$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.6340640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c1,061$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes39c1,000$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.788453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No62c988.32$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.6681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes39c922.06$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.4611029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a2…8471backed No61c909.65$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe425…6155backed Yes39c909.62$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No61c887.46$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.1565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No2c861$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.225646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes37c810.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.824139%16 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes37c800$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes40c742.1$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.265642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes38c740$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.86953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34ac…6e16backed Yes38c676.86$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.651926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes38c669$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.072128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes38c657.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.917241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x285f…fb2bbacked Yes38c637.66$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.35966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes39c615.38$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.3811855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3210445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1392…ab2abacked Yes71c492.32$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes40c482.69$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6132736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2525349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes38c391.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1911638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No18c389.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes38c380.9$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.162934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes39c358.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9711052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes39c355.69$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3915636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes39c351.29$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.295740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No60c350.01$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.340135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes39c333.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3413449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed No4c299.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56752.2%35 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5502…207ebacked Yes38c296.85$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.651464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes39c283.8$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.143161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes60c265.3$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.836628.8%19 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes38c263.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.628155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1277350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes40c245.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.093345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No61c245$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.627159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed No62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeab…b7f9backed Yes39c215.69$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes38c205.26$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.269348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No63c190.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No62c178$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3618260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes40c175.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.65050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe815…93f4backed No64c174.36$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.591330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.95151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08fa…a865backed Yes40c167.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed Yes43c160.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.477252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No62c149.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.014645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cb…5c1bbacked Yes40c140$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbeb8…3667backed Yes39c140$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.42060%12 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+66.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb210…1317backed No63c135.32$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.584032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10db…5365backed Yes39c130.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.771553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.216544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.213737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bca…be9fbacked Yes39c126.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d8…b9e5backed Yes38c119.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x080d…9874backed Yes38c116.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+30.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes39c100.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1610333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Yes40c100.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.254858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6311761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked No61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc372…00aabacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes38c99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3814732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No60c97.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.693655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed No43c92.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.575742.1%24 W · 33 L-8.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes39c89.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7414441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbe8…ae5bbacked Yes38c88.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+95.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc51…dcdabacked No63c88.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee7e…3d93backed Yes39c86.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes38c86.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.845740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc78…4e56backed Yes39c86.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ab…651abacked No63c84.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7db…e78fbacked No64c83.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37dc…2c06backed No64c82.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceba…b645backed Yes39c82.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…d45bbacked No63c81.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.086045%27 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb217…5b91backed No63c80.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb24…df3fbacked No63c79.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…92a9backed No63c79.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.