CS2 · resolved market
Will Spirit win the BLAST Open Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90a4f4afdfdca2a7e954c87f44dd51f3d6a82392e6f6c6b6c7869705e045d156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 73c | 2,732$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.18 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 22c | 1,383$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 31c | 1,165$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 23c | 844.55$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 21c | 839.41$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…89f6backed Yes | 13c | 631.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 78c | 569.87$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.21 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 9c | 433.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1d…1db8backed Yes | 30c | 429.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…fff3backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Yes | 39c | 303.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…766ebacked Yes | 24c | 291.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 79c | 253.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 28c | 216.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…8dc8backed No | 66c | 178.31$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 79c | 164.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 26c | 144.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 74c | 135.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 15c | 121$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…bd6cbacked Yes | 32c | 93.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Yes | 30c | 71.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…4825backed Yes | 38c | 66.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee6…6816backed Yes | 23c | 59.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked No | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spirit win the BLAST Open Tournament?this page
- Will Eternal Fire win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will MOUZ win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will Vitality win the BLAST Open Tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.