CS2 · resolved market
Will MOUZ win the BLAST Open Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47a1802a3e193ff715c1cc2a23624fefec9b4bc7c0dc3645b1ff4bb842d3cb40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 28c | 7,300$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.31 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 75c | 4,001$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.73 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 22c | 3,183$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.21 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 23c | 2,827$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.08 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 22c | 2,635$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.54 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 75c | 1,987$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.75 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 75c | 1,438$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.42 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 23c | 1,291$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 77c | 1,083$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 79c | 549.73$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 66c | 511$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.17 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 30c | 482.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.27 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3c…0ab0backed No | 79c | 465.92$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…0591backed Yes | 25c | 437$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…276fbacked Yes | 28c | 375$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 13c | 343.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 77c | 340$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 22c | 292.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed No | 72c | 288.16$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 67c | 286.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 25c | 276.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 237.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 63c | 223.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7301…9e76backed Yes | 62c | 199.36$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 36c | 191.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 75c | 162.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 75c | 156.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 35c | 148.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…64fbbacked Yes | 33c | 119.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 45c | 110.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 38c | 60.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 61c | 39.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MOUZ win the BLAST Open Tournament?this page
- Will Eternal Fire win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will Spirit win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will Vitality win the BLAST Open Tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.