CS2 · resolved market
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13fb28096f5d3fc6bba8f353a7d2eabb869bc59850e96bcbde8f04b5e5f8ed19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 22c | 7,598$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.15 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Yes | 47c | 3,333$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.26 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Yes | 75c | 1,650$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 31c | 1,519$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.52 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 61c | 1,455$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.93 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 54c | 1,345$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.06 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd84…b58abacked Yes | 53c | 1,198$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 47c | 1,179$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.46 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 67c | 1,136$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.42 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 79c | 1,022$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.54 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 79c | 750.74$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes | 51c | 740$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.62 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked No | 60c | 652.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 60c | 621.57$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.03 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked No | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 54c | 369.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…8d2fbacked Yes | 77c | 356.75$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3c…0ab0backed Yes | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 37c | 322.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 38c | 310.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 68c | 259.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed No | 27c | 258$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…3daabacked Yes | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 76c | 215$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Yes | 48c | 209.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 45c | 207.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…4feebacked Yes | 78c | 200.1$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 80c | 174.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 69c | 170$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 48c | 156.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…e315backed Yes | 66c | 152.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x774a…c13abacked Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a2…7e79backed Yes | 80c | 146.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…bfbabacked Yes | 78c | 138$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…0687backed Yes | 67c | 137.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63e…1e0dbacked Yes | 80c | 131.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 53c | 117$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed No | 56c | 106$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbee…e662backed Yes | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Yes | 55c | 100.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 48c | 100.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…624abacked Yes | 55c | 74.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 50c | 73.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 39c | 68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…c82fbacked Yes | 51c | 59.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed No | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…ccb1backed Yes | 69c | 49.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db4…d97fbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…d8b2backed Yes | 66c | 37.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed Yes | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 54 | 83.3%45 W · 9 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…766ebacked Yes | 69c | 28.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…6badbacked Yes | 73c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…5bcfbacked Yes | 79c | 12.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitality win the BLAST Open Tournament?this page
- Will Eternal Fire win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will MOUZ win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
- Will Spirit win the BLAST Open Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.