TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Twente beat Bodo Glimt?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed No52c1,528$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.5626022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes48c1,353$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.8933055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes52c1,008$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.812744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Yes11c1,000$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8901560%9 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes11c1,000$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8908749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No50c427.48$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3912737%47 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes74c401.37$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.762138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfb…bea8backed No52c326.92$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked No10c245.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No50c134.97$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9914252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No49c133.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9623757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes69c103.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.371866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c96…63dbbacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddf…1991backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes50c99.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed No52c98.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes50c90.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.214733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Yes51c73.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2213650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes56c53.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.317759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53351.5%17 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick62cpaid0%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa8…9a9ebacked Yes64c47.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68fb…95eabacked Yes51c46.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf64…0c9abacked No50c45.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b3…b20abacked No51c44.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7e…b881backed Yes49c44.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67da…cef0backed Yes49c44.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…fdd7backed No54c43.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…eed2backed Yes49c42.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e6…e484backed No50c42.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f2…104dbacked Yes50c42.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff11…cd68backed Yes51c42.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+159.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1227…3349backed No50c41.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb78c…2dffbacked Yes50c41.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d38…600cbacked No52c40.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No54c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…e9b3backed No50c39.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f43…9a0fbacked No52c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes52c38.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1917…efd9backed Yes50c37.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc9…e137backed No52c36.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e8…e2ccbacked No51c35.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes51c35.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.534533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x471e…f00bbacked No31c35.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff3c…4d6fbacked Yes50c35.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb432…9babbacked No50c35.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1e…7291backed No51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb39…8055backed No50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…5d70backed Yes50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c6…4260backed Yes51c33.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0299…7262backed No49c33.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x328f…aa71backed Yes59c32.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8426…438bbacked Yes46c31.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdff1…8865backed Yes50c31.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8dc…ce7bbacked No49c31.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…dbb1backed Yes49c31.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c61…8aa8backed Yes50c30.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa432…0ed9backed Yes49c30.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93b…0289backed Yes48c30.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21f…73e3backed Yes44c30.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb25b…93a6backed No56c30.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf75d…c349backed No53c30.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a5b…d2f0backed No50c30.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3f…0218backed No51c30.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f76…90cdbacked Yes48c30.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6489…d99bbacked Yes48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2771…df92backed Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf481…4d29backed No50c29.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd826…a325backed No50c29.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c6f…c255backed Yes50c29.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf912…ed98backed Yes50c28.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bc…b032backed No50c28.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c1…e908backed No50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3355…ee13backed No51c27.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d8…4e7dbacked No50c27.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf7b…2dbabacked No51c26.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd6…19e6backed No50c26.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d67…4aebbacked No50c26.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24cb…7a45backed No55c26.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f61…556bbacked Yes48c25.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x297d…7cc9backed No52c25.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ef…64acbacked Yes48c25.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…8253backed No49c25.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8814…ab7dbacked No49c24.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc628…0df4backed Yes50c24.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9f…45d2backed No50c24.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7afb…f0f0backed Yes50c24.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b9…aa4dbacked No50c24.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd59a…9891backed No54c24.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7efc…ff62backed No49c24.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a8…9befbacked No53c24.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6acc…71ffbacked Yes49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…da92backed No50c22.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83a…ab44backed Yes51c22.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0648…2d1abacked Yes49c22.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc3…4036backed Yes49c22.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda53…c064backed Yes49c22.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.