Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bodo Glimt beat FC Twente?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e8d2c7aa9bfe400cab16dcc7dca50da51c0c5a9539a96cfb5410e90ecc10fe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 5,050$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 3,300$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.84 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 72c | 750.07$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.02 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 72c | 454.01$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 416$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 188.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 145.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…8d2dbacked No | 76c | 131.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…40fabacked Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 66.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…49ffbacked Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…4f73backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…acabbacked Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa865…a2c3backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…e690backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…5582backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8ff1backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…6c65backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…f7e5backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…08a2backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ae35backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…e890backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…9fc1backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…90a1backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…0ed1backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…9c14backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…cad7backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bodo Glimt beat FC Twente?this page
- Will FC Twente beat Bodo Glimt?Yes won
- Will the match between FC Twente and Bodo Glimt end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.