Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a65402a54ccdf7b6aaff9af031a1c337e55a8d984fc2d48414091755382a2ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 60c | 26,721$16,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,713.44 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 40c | 25,882$10,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,418.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 59c | 22,660$13,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,356.66 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 40c | 19,527$7,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,852.36 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 53c | 5,338$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.95 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 45c | 4,100$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 1,893$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.52 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.93 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 42c | 1,345$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.84 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 29c | 1,148$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.39 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…c420backed No | 49c | 1,080$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,049$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Yes | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 80c | 617.55$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 61c | 556.91$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 49c | 516.14$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.91 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 52c | 395.6$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 331.9$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 5c | 316.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…8e64backed Yes | 51c | 314.88$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Yes | 51c | 210.34$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 157.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes | 59c | 141.19$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 50c | 132.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 42c | 106.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…45edbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6b…a620backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 57c | 91.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 41c | 65.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed No | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…c6f5backed Yes | 52c | 59.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…cf91backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…3476backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed Yes | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 51c | 39.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…2c79backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…62f5backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 51c | 23.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…6584backed Yes | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…fca9backed Yes | 51c | 20.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…e671backed Yes | 58c | 17.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-13?this page
- Will Ajax win on 2025-03-13?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Ajax end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.