TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Blue Jays, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Blue Jays45c106,737$48,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,031.8138043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yankees55c40,000$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,00035854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees55c36,118$19,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,253.181,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees70c18,942$13,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,725.441,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays30c18,058$5,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,506.621,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Blue Jays28c11,505$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,220.472751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees55c11,111$6,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.9530255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees71c10,410$7,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.652,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yankees71c9,576$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.1178445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Blue Jays24c7,572$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.217243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Yankees69c6,389$4,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.4421847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7678…102ebacked Blue Jays44c4,792$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+40.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13ec…a343backed Blue Jays44c4,500$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.68714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Blue Jays45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00022948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Yankees56c3,907$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.083250%16 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Yankees55c3,440$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.617758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Blue Jays47c3,202$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.4433845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees55c3,182$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.812,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees67c3,053$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.0643949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yankees68c2,667$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.479,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yankees55c2,256$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.1395850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.939041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees54c2,091$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.591,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees57c2,061$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.681,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Yankees55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90049250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Yankees71c1,718$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.316,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays45c1,584$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.71,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees68c1,181$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.2676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Blue Jays44c1,068$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4709551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yankees56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44030151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Yankees55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45032651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays42c951.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.841,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Blue Jays46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Blue Jays43c844.07$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.559645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yankees57c765$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1873149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees56c655$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.781,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yankees66c614$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.851,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Blue Jays22c594.09$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-18.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yankees69c570.95$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2979…59e5backed Blue Jays46c567.11$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.87450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Blue Jays44c545.45$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24028053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3545…741dbacked Blue Jays25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252030%6 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Blue Jays40c494.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.451,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Blue Jays43c466$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3817946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Blue Jays3c450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yankees56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.431,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees57c436.61$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.741,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Yankees70c414.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.251,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays43c400$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Blue Jays4c390$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.65053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Blue Jays26c384.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016148.4%78 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees70c380.27$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.74,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Yankees56c347$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8920747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays46c342.24$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.431,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays24c333.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Blue Jays45c332.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.693455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Blue Jays46c306.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14057545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1233,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays46c281.65$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.561,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9efd…1880backed Blue Jays44c275.51$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6f…e87cbacked Blue Jays46c274.22$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.144647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Blue Jays15c267.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035652.5%187 W · 169 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Yankees69c264.49$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.993554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3088…ec44backed Blue Jays46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204040%16 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Blue Jays13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3345732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Blue Jays41c243$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6331347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Blue Jays40c236.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0620944%92 W · 117 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b63…d2cfbacked Blue Jays45c232.13$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.461546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010352.4%54 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Blue Jays44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Yankees59c219.15$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7424253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Blue Jays46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Blue Jays46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Yankees54c216$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3612857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Blue Jays34c210.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7161346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays42c207.14$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8799951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd0…7efcbacked Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x245f…b6d7backed Yankees58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e40…4efabacked Yankees58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea3…e142backed Yankees58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8381…ebcfbacked Yankees58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7620…b9eabacked Yankees58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7623…565dbacked Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…78e3backed Yankees58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac5…3536backed Yankees58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845060%30 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d3…6f65backed Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x247e…3a07backed Yankees58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8e2…5daebacked Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a5b…02fabacked Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d07…3068backed Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8f…963ebacked Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845839.7%23 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x093b…e84cbacked Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cca…6c96backed Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845046%23 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed1…d738backed Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845350.9%27 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a6…835abacked Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee96…55e1backed Blue Jays42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.