WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs. Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16e95f86ee5d3439eb3de294525c9976ce6bdc3bbd8f7b623dc20c0d40c7a9c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Lynx, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb412…3026backed Valkyries | 15c | 18,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 18c | 7,547$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.86 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lynx | 41c | 4,276$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.48 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Valkyries | 15c | 4,065$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.72 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valkyries | 57c | 3,790$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.22 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Valkyries | 16c | 2,729$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.42 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Valkyries | 18c | 2,586$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Lynx | 43c | 2,100$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.78 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valkyries | 15c | 1,887$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.08 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Valkyries | 12c | 1,563$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Lynx | 74c | 1,402$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.28 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lynx | 69c | 1,100$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Valkyries | 28c | 949.87$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.1 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lynx | 53c | 943.51$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.8 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Valkyries | 59c | 924.79$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Valkyries | 50c | 907.69$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Valkyries | 62c | 763.36$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.57 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Valkyries | 17c | 699.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa07…cc94backed Valkyries | 18c | 578$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Valkyries | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Valkyries | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Valkyries | 44c | 457.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 28c | 424$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Valkyries | 62c | 410.18$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…a356backed Valkyries | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Valkyries | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 34c | 291.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valkyries | 29c | 275$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Valkyries | 15c | 267.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Valkyries | 13c | 260.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Valkyries | 47c | 255$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Valkyries | 43c | 232.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Valkyries | 73c | 213.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Lynx | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Valkyries | 42c | 174.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Valkyries | 55c | 173.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Valkyries | 16c | 170.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Valkyries | 53c | 151.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Valkyries | 68c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Valkyries | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Valkyries | 17c | 129.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Valkyries | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valkyries | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Valkyries | 18c | 106.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked Valkyries | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed Lynx | 34c | 103.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Valkyries | 17c | 94.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Lynx | 43c | 94.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked Lynx | 71c | 85.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Valkyries | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Lynx | 71c | 74.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Lynx | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Valkyries | 79c | 71.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Lynx | 36c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ed94backed Valkyries | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…effcbacked Valkyries | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…8f08backed Lynx | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Valkyries | 64c | 50.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Lynx | 46c | 42.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…b35abacked Lynx | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Valkyries | 36c | 36.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Valkyries | 64c | 35.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Valkyries | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…36d8backed Valkyries | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0148backed Valkyries | 34c | 30.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1d…8d32backed Valkyries | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Lynx | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…d79ebacked Valkyries | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…5ecbbacked Lynx | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…0f7ebacked Valkyries | 59c | 27.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…9e97backed Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed Lynx | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Lynx | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.