CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BOSS vs LAG Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae64dc5f1203175f699f8296f73f89ec1bbd5acbe5459f99350c751d2729cdf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BOSSof BOSS, LAG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed LAG Gaming | 23c | 600.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.53 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed LAG Gaming | 24c | 385.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed BOSS | 75c | 329.33$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked BOSS | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb079…a1ccbacked LAG Gaming | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked BOSS | 77c | 168.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed BOSS | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed BOSS | 76c | 108.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked LAG Gaming | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…417cbacked BOSS | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed LAG Gaming | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed BOSS | 73c | 78.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed BOSS | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed BOSS | 73c | 76.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked BOSS | 75c | 60.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…bf65backed LAG Gaming | 27c | 56.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…6956backed BOSS | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed LAG Gaming | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfd…3191backed BOSS | 72c | 49.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed BOSS | 77c | 42.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…36d8backed BOSS | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed BOSS | 68c | 21.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed BOSS | 77c | 17.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.