Europa Conference League · resolved market
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x522b3539c78b6334eeb58203a9f4247ba8a4696a9d9ad0ab688e22bdb9157c3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 18c | 4,155$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.87 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Under | 66c | 1,658$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 75c | 1,337$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 54c | 552.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 458.67$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.14 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 25c | 444$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 76cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 26c | 103$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 26c | 73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 27c | 59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Over | 74c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 74c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 74c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…a875backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 77c | 20.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 74c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 69cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5this page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.