Europa Conference League · resolved market
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0522c3d070ab0185fcd7a18609dba3aa7df3262ef6fe9927a579f943d8095b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 22c | 7,155$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.04 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 65c | 1,292$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.31 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Under | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 47c | 425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 31c | 161.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 51c | 129$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd467…07d0backed Over | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 51c | 73.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 68.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 51c | 55.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 54c | 55.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 52.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 52c | 41.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 51c | 38.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Over | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 21.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5this page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.