Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c31ace1e0e0436a22148e985d9dfa32894f7796381a6c9af9096d6109b80c69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 50c | 28,468$14,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,373.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 13,658$6,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,951.05 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 7,053$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.95 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 48c | 1,963$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 1,112$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.27 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 970.8$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.11 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 49c | 930$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.35 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 53c | 849.81$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.37 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 52c | 556$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.88 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 49c | 521.77$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.94 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Under | 51c | 456.86$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 440.82$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.33 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 333.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 39c | 265.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 67c | 255.17$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.67 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Under | 53c | 244.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 176.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…7bb5backed Over | 76c | 136.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 50c | 135.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 23c | 126.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 49c | 104.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 48c | 85.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 53c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 68.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fee…1502backed Over | 79c | 66.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Under | 50c | 58.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 78c | 58.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 47c | 53.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 57c | 49.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 49c | 45.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 34c | 40.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 48c | 37.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 52c | 36.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…1c24backed Under | 50c | 36.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…bdd7backed Under | 36c | 33.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7185…751dbacked Under | 49c | 28.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…d84dbacked Under | 49c | 27.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…1dc9backed Under | 50c | 26.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2507…d5f2backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Under | 49c | 22.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…5473backed Over | 73c | 21.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…a875backed Over | 79c | 20.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 56c | 18.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.